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☆ After South Carolina, Trump’s March to the Nomination Quickens
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-25 | by ( Lisa Lerer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

But his overwhelming victory on Saturday in South Carolina, where he defeated Nikki Haley in her home state, makes it all but official. The Republican nominating contest isn’t a competition. The stakes were extraordinarily high: Many of his Republican opponents see Mr. Trump as, at best, unelectable and, at worst, a threat to the foundations of American democracy. And yet, as the campaign has moved through the first nominating contests, the race has not revealed Mr. Trump’s weaknesses, but instead the enduring nature of his ironclad grip on the Republican Party. “I think the party will be done with Trump when Trump is done with the party,” said David Kochel, a longtime Republican strategist who is opposed to Mr. Trump.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, It’s, ”, David Kochel, “ Organizations: Republican, Republican Party, Capitol, Trump, Mr Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, New York City

☆ Analysis: Why DeSantis’ departure isn’t likely to change the dynamic between Trump and Haley
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

The DeSantis and Haley camps each believed they would benefit if the other left the field and created an unambiguous one-on-one race with Trump. In fact, both the Trump and DeSantis campaigns believe that more of the Florida governor’s supporters will likely pick Trump. Any gain or loss for Haley among voters from DeSantis’ decision seems likely to affect the race only marginally, many GOP observers believe. Even at that point in the 2016 race, Trump had won only a cumulative 40% of the votes cast in the GOP primaries. His theory that he could peel away a meaningful number of previous Trump voters simply proved wrong.

Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Trump, Joe Biden, Haley doesn’t, Biden, winnowing, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, George Conway, “ Trump, David Kochel, “, he’s, –, Trump’s, ”, Alex Stroman, Trump’s MAGA, MAGA, CNN DeSantis, “ DeSantis, Scott Reed, Bob Dole’s, John Connally, suburbanites, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump’s, ” Stroman, Jean Carroll, Mike Murphy, – Haley, Sen, Marco Rubio, she’s, Mike Dennehy, John McCain’s, Bill Kristol, Kristol, ” Kristol, Matt Gaetz, Ginger Heald, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, Reed, Dole, Mike Pence, Pence, ” Reed, “ He’s Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, CNN, New Hampshire, Democratic, South, University of New Hampshire, Republicans, Texas, nonurban Whites, The, South Carolina Republican Party, Edison Research, Trump Trump, Biden, New Hampshire GOP, Florida Republican, Merrimack Republican, Committee, DeSantis Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, New, Iowa, DeSantis, As, Hampshire, New York, Trump, The Florida, Trump’s, Texas, Charleston, Polk County, Trump’s Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel, ”

☆ College-educated Republicans once appeared ready to move on from Trump. They're now solidly behind his 2024 campaign.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

But there is one GOP bloc that had seemingly wavered on Trump but is now back in the former president's corner: college-educated voters. Related storiesWhile a slew of GOP college graduates have indeed drifted in the direction of former UN ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. And she's set to perform well in the Iowa counties most populated with college graduates, as well as in next week's New Hampshire primary. Advertisement"These are Fox News viewers who are coming back around to him," Iowa GOP operative David Kochel told the newspaper. Among GOP college graduates, that number hit 76% support.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, they've, DeSantis, Trump, Haley, David Kochel, Biden Organizations: Service, Republican, Business, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, DeSantis, The New York Times, United Nations, Fox News, Iowa GOP, Suffolk University, USA Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, week's, Hampshire, Suffolk

Some Republican contenders for their party's 2024 presidential nomination have turned to a blunt policy proposal to tamp down on crime: killing criminals. Crime, meanwhile, is a greater concern for voters than it has been in previous elections, even as crime trends are mixed. The former president has reiterated previous calls for drug dealers to receive the death penalty, despite legal scholars questioning its constitutionality. For instance, the U.S. Supreme Court holds that the application of the death penalty for crimes that do not result in the death of the victim is generally unconstitutional. In 2008, the court left open the possibility of the death penalty for "drug kingpin activity," though it has never been applied.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jonathan Ernst, Trump, Doug Heye, David Kochel, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, kingpins, Mike Pence, Pence, Bryan Griffin, they're, Thomas Zeitzoff, Gram Slattery, Nathan Layne, Tim Reid, Ross Colvin, Howard Goller Organizations: Des Moines, Iowa State Fairgrounds, REUTERS, Rights, Republican, Federal Bureau of, Reuters, Trump, U.S, Supreme, American University, Thomson Locations: U.S, Des Moines , Iowa, Mexico, United States, California, Florida, America, Indiana, Washington, Wilton , Connecticut, Los Angeles

Republican presidential candidate Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks at the New Hampshire Republican Party's First in the Nation Leadership Summit in Nashua, New Hampshire, U.S., October 13, 2023. When Troy Scheuermann, a chiropractor in Van Buren County stood up to introduce DeSantis at a campaign stop in Keosauqua (pop. For farmer Lance Lillibridge of Benton County, Iowa, a personal touch from DeSantis, a politician not known for his warmth, is what secured his support. RURAL ROADSIn a recent three-day swing through Iowa, DeSantis traveled through Davis County (pop. The Trump campaign said it has identified 1,800 in-state volunteers to support the campaign, as well as 200 county chairs representing all 99 counties.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump, Trump, DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Troy Scheuermann, Scheuermann, “, ”, ” DeSantis, Van, Le Mars, Don Kass, Mike Van Otterloo, Van Otterloo, David Kochel, Jeb Bush, Mitt Romney, Kochel, Lance Lillibridge, Lillibridge, ” Lillibridge, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, you’re, “ We’ve, Jessica Szymanski, Szymanski, James Oliphant, Gram Slattery, Nathan Layne, Ross Colvin, Claudia Parsons Organizations: Florida, New Hampshire Republican Party's, Nation Leadership Summit, REUTERS, Republican, Trump, Iowa, Ipsos, Iowa Republican, United Nations, Ukraine, PEOPLE Reuters, Reuters, Cream, Plymouth County, Supervisors, DeSantis, Iowa Corn Growers Association, Arkansas, “, PAC, White, Thomson Locations: Nashua , New Hampshire, U.S, , Iowa, Iowa, Florida, DeSantis, Van Buren County, Keosauqua, Van Buren, Le Mars , Iowa, Plymouth, Benton County , Iowa, China, Davis County, Buena Vista County

"That is his super power," said David Kochel, a Republican strategist not affiliated with any 2024 presidential campaign. Both campaigns use other accounts to raise money known as joint fundraising committees. Trump's campaign previously said it raised over $45 million in the third quarter, without giving details of how much joint fundraising raised and how much the joint committee spent raising that money. The Trump campaign didn't respond to requests for details about fundraising by the joint committee. Biden's camp had previously said his campaign, the Democratic Party and their joint fundraising committees raised a combined $71 million.

Persons: Donald Trump, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Trump, David Kochel, I'm, Biden's, Jason Lange, Alexandra Ulmer, Robert Birsel Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Democratic, Federal, Commission, Republican, Trump, Democratic Party, Thomson Locations: Wolfeboro , New Hampshire, U.S, Georgia, Washington, San Francisco

His advisers want to lock in a blowout that discourages talk of a second-place finisher consolidating support and taking on the former president directly. A traditional measure of campaign organization in Iowa is the caucus pledge card. After Trump’s second-place 2016 finish behind Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, a ragtag effort of big crowds but little organization, state GOP staffers cleaned out his caucus campaign office to find thousands of signed pledge cards that had never been logged. Trump plans to headline a central Iowa caucus organizing event in booming Dallas County, west of Des Moines, and a speaking event in the city's GOP-leaning western suburbs on Monday. 2 person, assuming Trump wins Iowa, is important, and how far apart the second-place person, assuming it’s not Trump, and the rest of the field is also important," he said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump’s, Sen, Ted Cruz, “, Alex Latcham, Trump, Letitia James, It's, ” Trump, Rick, Nancy Anderson, Rick Anderson, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, David Kochel, Kochel, it’s, ” Organizations: DES, Republican, Trump, GOP, New York, Florida Gov, U.N, Iowa Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Ted Cruz of Texas, Dallas County, Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, Ottumwa, Florida

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Donald Trump continues his autumn push in Iowa on Saturday with presidential campaign events planned in two of the leadoff caucus state's larger cities. Nikki Haley, a former U.N. ambassador and South Carolina governor who has drawn increased attention due to her noteworthy debate performances, is beginning to build out her Iowa team. “And Iowa is going to tell us something really meaningful and Trump shouldn’t take it for granted.”After Trump's loosely organized Iowa campaign produced a second-place finish in Iowa in 2016, his team says it is now running a more disciplined, data-driven campaign in the state. After late summer stops at the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines and Iowa State-Iowa football game in Ames, Trump drew large crowds in rural eastern Iowa as well as Dubuque last month and Ottumwa last Sunday. Those were areas he won in the 2016 caucuses and carried as the GOP nominee in 2016 and 2020.

Persons: — Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, ”, David Kochel Organizations: DES, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, South, Iowa, Republican, Des Moines, Fair, Iowa State, Ottumwa Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Waterloo, Cedar, Florida, South Carolina, Des, Des Moines, Ames, Dubuque

☆ Analysis: DeSantis embraces risky abortion stance to draw contrast with Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( James Oliphant | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The DeSantis campaign believes a win in Iowa might push other candidates from the field, leaving him as voters' primary alternative to former President Donald Trump, the current favorite. The DeSantis War Room account on X, the site formerly known as Twitter, replayed the NBC Trump interview and featured Iowa pastors criticizing Trump. A DeSantis campaign adviser, who asked to remain anonymous to discuss strategy, said the governor was intent on replicating the tactics used by U.S. DeSantis' campaign last week announced a "Faith and Family" coalition backed by 70 Iowa pastors and faith leaders. POLITICAL PERILDeSantis signed the Florida bill in April with little fanfare and rarely mentioned it early in his presidential campaign.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Scott Morgan, DeSantis, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Ted Cruz, David Kochel, ”, ” Trump, fides, Roe, Wade, Mark Donald, “, ” Donald, “ That’s, James Oliphant, Gram Slattery, Colleen Jenkins, Stephen Coates Organizations: Republican U.S, Florida, Fair, REUTERS, Rights, Republican, NBC News, Republican Party, Twitter, NBC Trump, Facebook, Trump, Democratic, Reuters, Ipsos, Iowa, Republicans, U.S, Supreme, Thomson Locations: Iowa, Des Moines , Iowa, U.S, Florida, Florida and Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan

mug shot t-shirts ($34.00), beverage holders ($15.00 for two) and coffee mugs ($25.00). His son Don Jr. is marketing "FREE TRUMP" mug shot t-shirts ($29.99) and posters ($19.99). What legal rights, if any, Trump's campaign may have over the mug shot's reproduction are unclear, however. The former president told Fox News Digital in an interview Thursday night that he only did the mug shot because Georgia officials insisted. Rick Wilson, a co-founder of the Lincoln Project flogging mug shot wares online, dared Trump's campaign to sue him in a Friday post on X.

Persons: Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, Mario Anzuoni, Donald Trump's, Don Jr, Etsy, Taylor, David Kochel, Trump, Chris LaCivita, Josh Gerben, Trump's, you've, Rick Wilson, Gram Slattery, Nathan Lane, Blake Brittain, Jason Lange, Steve Holland, Heather Timmons, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Former U.S, Trump, Republican, Lincoln, Republicans, Reuters, U.S, Constitution, Fox News Digital, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, Former, Georgia, Los Angeles, Iowa, New York, Fulton, Lincoln

Persons: Donald Trump's, Don Jr, Etsy, Taylor, CJ Butler, it's Trump, David Kochel, Trump, Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, Mario Anzuoni, Chris LaCivita, Josh Gerben, Trump's, you've, Rick Wilson, Gram Slattery, Nathan Lane, Blake Brittain, Jason Lange, Rollo Ross, Steve Holland, Heather Timmons, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: Former U.S, Trump, Republican, Lincoln, Republicans, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S, Constitution, Fox News Digital, Thomson Locations: Former, Georgia, Los Angeles, Atlanta , Georgia, Iowa, New York, Los Angeles , California, U.S, Fulton, Lincoln

☆ The Republican Not Heading to a July 4 Parade? Trump.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Jonathan Weisman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Both Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Scott will be at the July 4 parade in Merrimack, N.H., as will several other Republican presidential hopefuls: Mr. Burgum, former Representative Will Hurd of Texas, the entrepreneur and author Vivek Ramaswamy, and Perry Johnson, a Michigan businessman. Mr. Trump’s campaign evinces no concern that his absence from the stage will give his rivals any room to make up ground in the Republican primaries. Republican veterans don’t see much of an opening for Mr. Trump’s rivals either. “He definitely plays by a different set of rules,” said David Kochel, a longtime Republican adviser and strategist in Iowa. field at the Republican Party of Iowa’s biggest fund-raiser, the Lincoln Dinner, on July 28.

Persons: DeSantis, Scott, Burgum, Will Hurd, Vivek Ramaswamy, Perry Johnson, Marianne Williamson, Biden, don’t, ”, David Kochel, Trump, Miami’s, ” Mr, Kochel, “ Organizations: Democratic, White, National Education Association, Mr, Republican, New Hampshire —, Cuban, Republican Party of Iowa’s Locations: Merrimack, N.H, Will Hurd of Texas, Michigan, —, Iowa, New Hampshire, Versailles

☆ How one DeSantis speech captured the dynamic that could decide 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

The next 30 minutes of DeSantis’ speech then demonstrated how Biden might survive despite all the doubts about his performance and capabilities. In that way, DeSantis’ first swing through Iowa showed why Republicans are still at risk in 2024 from a key dynamic that dashed their hopes of a sweeping “red wave” in 2022. Many strategists in both parties believe that dynamic is most likely to recur in 2024 if the GOP nominates Trump. One reason, Republicans argue, is that the eventual nominee likely will talk about these issues less in a general election. Beset by all the difficult domestic conditions DeSantis highlighted, Biden will likely struggle straight through November 2024 to affirmatively convince a majority that his performance deserves another term.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Biden, DeSantis, Donald Trump, ”, Sarah Longwell, MAGA Trump, “, Trump, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Jesse Ferguson, SRSS, “ Biden, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W . Bush, “ DeSantis, Ferguson, don’t, –, David Kochel, Kochel, can’t, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton’s, suburbanites, Nick Gourevitch, DeSantis ’, dethroning Trump, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Biden “ Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Biden’s, Republicans, GOP, Trump, Republican, Longwell, Biden, White House, White, Edison Research, House, Democrats, Senate, Fox News, Walt Disney Co, Democratic, eventual Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, Biden’s America, America, Florida, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , New Hampshire , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan

☆ It’s Been a Week. What Does It Tell Us About 2024?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-14 | by ( Jonathan Weisman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

In an interview on Saturday, he said it was not meant to be a criticism. But it was “an appeal for a bolder platform that captures the imagination of working-class Americans and inspires them.”There’s no question that political predictions this far from an election are unreliable. Even Iowa voters tend not to tune in to the race until later in the year, noted David Kochel, a longtime Iowa Republican consultant. One Biden campaign adviser suggested that Mr. Trump had supplied a trove of material for attack ads. Mr. DeSantis’s super PAC, Never Back Down, called the 70-minute performance “over an hour of nonsense.”The crucial question for both parties in 2024 is how to retain the voters they have and regain those they have lost.

☆ Trump wades into education culture war as he eyes race with DeSantis
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( James Oliphant | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Trump hasn't been waging the same kind of cultural warfare over education that DeSantis and other Republicans have since the coronavirus pandemic. DeSantis was in Iowa on Friday, speaking at a pair of political events that appeared to be laying groundwork for a presidential bid. His education agenda in Florida was a recurring theme in his remarks, and DeSantis credited it as a reason that he convincingly won re-election last year. DeSantis has asked the Florida legislature to expand a ban on teaching gender-identity concepts to eighth grade from third grade currently. Some of Trump’s education ideas include rewarding teachers who teach “patriotic values” and requiring direct election of school principals by parents, although how he would bring that about is unclear.

☆ Trump looks to play catch-up to DeSantis on education in 2024 race
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( James Oliphant | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The coronavirus pandemic gave rise to a host of hot-button issues surrounding education that have mobilized the Republican base in the years since Trump left the White House. DeSantis was in Iowa on Friday, speaking at a pair of political events that appear to be laying groundwork for a presidential bid. DeSantis has asked the Florida legislature to expand a ban on teaching gender-identity concepts to eighth grade from third grade currently. That could leave an opening for Trump, who made school choice a priority in his administration but lacks the track record on state-level education issues that DeSantis and other governors have. Terry Schilling, president of the American Principles Project, another conservative parents' rights group, said DeSantis getting out ahead of Trump on the issue should not hurt the former president.

Like Trump, Bush has experienced what it's like to watch a younger man overshadow him, a man he worked hard to support. Bush and Rubio were allies in Florida government, and Rubio was widely viewed as a Bush protége. There is nobody who can even come close to generating the excitement and enthusiasm as President Trump has and will do in 2024." In the end, Trump branding Bush as "low energy" wasn't the only thing standing between Bush and the nomination. "DeSantis is like the one person who has gotten more out of Trump than Trump has gotten out of them."

☆ A 2nd Republican will soon declare a presidential run, but expect another lag before a 'clown car' of candidates make it official, seasoned operatives say
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-21 | by ( ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Trump is the only one who declared a presidential run for 2024. Campaign insiders call this presidential campaign period the "preseason," the "trial balloon season," or the "incubation period." And both could take advantage the spotlight of a presidential run because they don't currently hold office, in contrast to governors and US Senators potentially in the mix. Andrew Harnik/APThe field will be set by summerWhen it comes to planning a campaign, candidates don't have full control over their timelines. "If we go into the Iowa Caucuses with more than a dozen candidates," Kochel said, "then some part of the process has failed."

☆ Trump is asking advisers what they 'have' on Ron DeSantis so he can eliminate him as competition for 2024: report
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Cheryl Teh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Trump's team is looking for dirt on Ron DeSantis, per a new Rolling Stone report. Rolling Stone spoke to sources who say Trump has been asking aides what they "have" on DeSantis. Ron DeSantis, per a new report from Rolling Stone. The way Trump went after Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush, I do not believe that's going to work against Ron DeSantis." Rolling Stone's report on the Trump camp's DeSantis strategy comes after Trump sounded a warning to his prospective rival.

☆ Gov. Ron DeSantis cruises to re-election, solidifying GOP hold on Florida politics
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( Marc Caputo | Marc Caputo Is A Senior National Political Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +11 min

Ron DeSantis speaks during the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit in Tampa, Fla. on July 22, 2022. One survey in the nation’s first primary state, New Hampshire, showed the two statistically tied in a primary, but another survey show Trump with a lead. Some Florida polls have also shown DeSantis leading Trump in a one-on-one primary. The poll also showed DeSantis might win a majority of Hispanic voters in Florida, which no Republican governor has done in 20 years. “In that event, Ron has a different set of issues he has to contend with if he wants to run against Trump.”

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